Watching both political parties go through the process of getting down to their best candidate for President, I have come to the conclusion that our next President will be Barack Obama. Let me put it another way. The race is clearly Barack Obama’s to lose. Here are my reasons:
- Passion. If passion is an indicator then Obama is the winner. The passion shown by his supporters is off the chart. It is an amazing phenomenon. People are showing an amazing level of zeal and enthusiasm for Obama. Conversley the McCain passion is very low. Now the poll numbers are close, but the passion index (if there is one) is strongly tilted to Obama.
- Charisma. That is important. The last two Democratic Presidential candidates were woefully lacking in charisma. Kerry was a stiff. Gore wasn’t as warm as Kerry. Obama rates off the chart in this area, too. McCain has personality. On Saturday Night Live he was really good, but no one has as much charisma as Obama.
- Press. If you believe that the press is neutral about both candidates then it just seems natural that the above two traits would in the end, natrually cause them to be warmer to Obama. If you know the truth, then you know that the press has already signed on and is contributing mightily to being co-authors of this fairytale.
- Money. Democrats are doubling down. After Gore’s loss, the Democrat money knew it had to finance the next election. They almost got it done with Kerry. To their credit they are back with their wallets. It is ironic that this last several years of relatively low taxes and strong economic numbers has contributed more to their wealth than anything else. Conversely, Republicans to this point have been less willing to bankroll McCain.
In future posts, I will discuss how Obama can lose the race and how I think McCain could win it. So what do you think? Do you see it this way?
2 comments:
Unfortunately I believe you are correct. It's style over substance and as a hardcore conservative I'm not thrill with McCain's substance. Where's Ronald Regan???
I hope you're wrong....but this is shaping up like the 1996 campaign...you knew it was Bob Dole's turn to run....but you also knew he didn't have a chance. I guess we'll see.
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